Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.393268 0.430266 0.469771 0.515186 0.566073 0.621466 0.686506
2025-12-07 0.327984 0.378810 0.436801 0.508268 0.594526 0.695970 0.825330
2025-12-14 0.289274 0.346190 0.414050 0.501712 0.613104 0.751482 0.938848
2025-12-21 0.256566 0.315444 0.388046 0.485326 0.614061 0.781166 1.018812
2025-12-28 0.241000 0.303641 0.383287 0.493673 0.645406 0.850756 1.156973
2026-01-04 0.227405 0.292678 0.377932 0.499677 0.672823 0.916212 1.295406
2026-01-11 0.214871 0.281798 0.371323 0.502644 0.695271 0.975640 1.430655
2026-01-18 0.203620 0.271612 0.364548 0.504259 0.715123 1.032184 1.567040
2026-01-25 0.194609 0.263749 0.360196 0.508598 0.738784 1.095968 1.721812
2026-02-01 0.182390 0.250454 0.347012 0.498500 0.738942 1.122166 1.815938
2026-02-08 0.174890 0.243432 0.342381 0.500804 0.758414 1.180847 1.972935
2026-02-15 0.166534 0.234599 0.334399 0.497110 0.767532 1.222601 2.103920
2026-02-22 0.160252 0.228610 0.330489 0.499817 0.787872 1.286315 2.286256
2026-03-01 0.152228 0.219539 0.321289 0.493265 0.791879 1.321523 2.418177
2026-03-08 0.144941 0.211183 0.312664 0.486942 0.795537 1.356078 2.553002
2026-03-15 0.136163 0.200049 0.298992 0.471141 0.780915 1.354815 2.612250
2026-03-22 0.133082 0.197719 0.299302 0.479190 0.810075 1.439930 2.870209
2026-03-29 0.129744 0.194779 0.298402 0.484979 0.835393 1.519960 3.129304
2026-04-05 0.126055 0.191071 0.295988 0.487841 0.855265 1.590883 3.378492
2026-04-12 0.122360 0.187162 0.292997 0.489397 0.872622 1.658238 3.630052
2026-04-19 0.119360 0.184249 0.291519 0.493581 0.895444 1.739573 3.930746
2026-04-26 0.114151 0.177399 0.282901 0.483845 0.889217 1.756447 4.065855
2026-05-03 0.111241 0.174311 0.280680 0.486066 0.907780 1.830825 4.369354